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December 21, 2012

BREAKING: Weather Service says "confidence is increasing" for wintry precipitation on Christmas Day

GREENVILLE — Bing can still dream ...

It is not guaranteed by any means, but the National Weather Service is now indicating that "confidence is increasing" that some form of "wintry precipitation" may fall on area residents Christmas Day.

Hunt County was included under a special weather statement issued by the agency this afternoon:

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER NORTH TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS DAY. WHILE THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN FORECAST TO AFFECT THE REGION FOR SEVERAL DAYS...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT WINTRY PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL FALL OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS DAY. BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST

MODELS...THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. ASSUMING THIS TRACK VERIFIES...THIS WOULD SUPPORT A CHANGE OVER FROM RAIN TO SNOW WITH SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ON CHRISTMAS DAY. JUST

SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE TO NO SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

AT THIS TIME SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF...AND MAY ONLY PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS. CURRENTLY OUR FORECAST CALLS FOR LESS THAN 1 INCH OF SNOWFALL FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. AS THE CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OCCURS...NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO 30 MPH. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BLOW AROUND IN THESE WINDS...WHICH MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY IF TRAVELING AFTER

SUNSET ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

AS OF THIS AFTERNOON...THIS UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM REMAINS OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN. THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND ANY ASSOCIATED WINTRY PRECIPITATION FALLING OVER NORTH TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS DAY AT THIS TIME.

A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK TO THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LITTLE TO NO WINTRY PRECIPITATION OVER NORTH TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK TO THIS SYSTEM COULD RESULT IN A CHANGE IN THE AREAL COVERAGE AND POSSIBLE INCREASE IN SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS NORTH TEXAS ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

BOTTOM LINE...WINTRY PRECIPITATION IS LOOKING MORE LIKELY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS OF CHRISTMAS DAY. CHECK BACK FOR THE LATEST FORECAST UPDATES IN THE COMING DAYS AS THESE DETAILS ARE VERY LIKELY TO CHANGE IN FUTURE FORECASTS.

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